Dr. Kalyanaram is a highly cited scholar whose research covers Management Science; Education and Public Policy; Economics; and Innovation.  He has been a distinguished scholar at the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars, and the East-European and Russian Research Center.  

The US Elections: Updates on November 4th, 8:45 AM

The US Elections: Updates on November 4th, 8:45 AM

Kalyanaram Gurumurthy

11/04/2020

BIDEN-TRUMP

Current numbers are: Biden: 238, Trump: 213

(This includes AZ for Biden. FOX has given it to Biden. The numbers are pretty strong for Biden. Evident.)

PA: Trump leads by 620,000 (20 EVs)

There are 1.4 million mail-in-ballots. So far 1million mail-in ballots have been counted and it has been 78-22 in favor of Biden. So, Biden is likely to win ever so narrowly.

MI: Trump leads narrowly (16 EVs)

Over 16 percent of the votes to be counted. Most of them are expected for Biden.

Biden is expected to win relatively easily.

WI: Biden will win. The numbers are evident. (10 EVs.)

Georgia: By all estimates, Biden is expected to win when all the votes from Atlanta and suburbs are counted (Fulton and deKalb) (16 EVs)

NC: About 400,000 votes to be counted. Trump leads by about 85,000 votes. As with others, most of the remaining votes are likely to go to Biden. (15 EVs)

Nevada: Biden is likely to win easily. Currently ahead by 7,000 votes. The rest of vote is all mail-in ballots and most of it from Clark county.

So, BIDEN is likely to secure about 280-300 EVs. In the end.

SENATE:

Current Numbers: 47-47, 6 Outstanding.

MI: Democrat for certain. Outstanding votes are very highly Democratic and the Republican challenger leads by a sliver. Over 14 percent of the votes are outstanding.

ME: Democrat plausible (only 69 percent counties, Collins leading by about 35,000 votes. More importantly, she is shy of 50 percent. If less than 50 percent, then rank ordering controls the outcome and Gideon is likely to do very well in the rank order counting.)

NC: Democrat plausible. The Republican incumbent leads by about 100,000. But there are about 300,000 votes to be counted, very high percentage likely to be Democratic.

The two GA seats may go to run off. In any case, Perdue (Republican Incumbent) now leads by about 200,000. Over 450,000 votes to be counted -- almost all of it from Atlanta and suburbs and /or mail-in ballots.

So, Democrats will be at 48-51. Can they reach 50 and secure the majority? Plausible.

The US Elections: Updates on November 4th, 5:45 PM

The US Elections: Updates on November 4th, 5:45 PM
The US Presidential, Senatorial and House of Representatives Elections Today

The US Presidential, Senatorial and House of Representatives Elections Today