The US Elections: Updates on November 4th, 5:45 PM

The Presidency is a done deal. Joe Biden is the next President with 270-290 EVs.

In PA (20 Electoral Votes), there are -- it appears -- still about 600-800,000 mail-in outstanding vote. Trump now leads by 300,000 votes. And Biden has been winning the outstanding votes at the rate of 75-25 in favor of Biden. So, Biden will overtake Trump when all the votes are counted. May be ahead by 100,000-200,00 votes.

In GA (15 Electoral Votes), it appears that there are about 400,000 outstanding votes. Trump is leading Biden by 70,000. Same argument as PA. Biden is most likely to win GA.

Senate: The Democrats now have 48 seats.

In GA, Ossoff (Democratic challenger) is trailing by about 160,000. Given that there are 400,000 outstanding vote, Ossoff could pull it out. At least, force a run off.

In NC, it is all so murky. The Democratic challenger is trailing by about 100,000. There may be about 300,000 outstanding votes. So, there may be a fighting chance for the challenger.

And the second senate seat will be decided in a run off on January 21st.

So, there are 3 potential opportunities for Democrats. They may pick up zero or one or two or three additional seats. My guess is that Democrats may just fall short at 49.